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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Livingston logo

Motherwell
4 - 1
Livingston

Bair (21' pen., 68'), Nicholson (45+2'), Casey (74')
Miller (70'), Zdravkovski (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nouble (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Motherwell
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-2 Livingston

It is set tobe a game fueled by emotions, and with so much on the line for Livingston, there is no doubt that they will be giving everything they have in this one. Considering their positive performance last weekend the Lions should head into the game with confidence that could lead to them getting another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawLivingston
54.14% (0.433 0.43) 23.04% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 22.82% (-0.536 -0.54)
Both teams to score 55.65% (-0.995 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (-1.004 -1)44.47% (0.99700000000001 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-0.977 -0.98)66.84% (0.971 0.97)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.209 -0.21)16.35% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.04% (-0.375 -0.38)45.96% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-1.026 -1.03)33.47% (1.021 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (-1.134 -1.13)70.1% (1.128 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 54.14%
    Livingston 22.82%
    Draw 23.03%
MotherwellDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.356 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.14%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.092 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 22.82%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Livingston

Motherwell
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Livingston
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 28
Livingston
1-3
Motherwell
Yengi (3')
Yengi (90+5')
Nicholson (49'), Spittal (71'), Vale (87')
Casey (74')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Motherwell
3-1
Livingston
Spittal (14'), Bair (19', 35')
Biereth (45'), Spencer (59'), Mugabi (71'), Slattery (84')
Pittman (23')
Devlin (39'), Holt (43'), Anderson (86')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Livingston
2-0
Motherwell
Anderson (53'), Kelly (62' pen.)
Holt (90+3')

Spencer (69'), Wilkinson (90+4'), Casey (90+4')
Miller (45+1')
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Livingston
1-1
Motherwell
Shinnie (83')
Montano (69'), Devlin (89')
George (43')
Van Veen (3')
Goss (57')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Motherwell
3-0
Livingston
Van Veen (9', 33'), Johnston (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Ross County183691435-2115
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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