Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | St Johnstone |
38.09% ( -0) | 26.95% ( 0.01) | 34.95% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% ( -0.03) | 54.25% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% ( -0.03) | 75.65% ( 0.03) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% ( -0.02) | 27.65% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% ( -0.02) | 63.19% ( 0.02) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.46% ( -0.02) | 29.54% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.43% ( -0.02) | 65.56% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |