Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
25.65% ( -0.7) | 26.95% ( -0.19) | 47.4% ( 0.89) |
Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.37% ( 0.26) | 57.63% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.6% ( 0.2) | 78.4% ( -0.2) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.8% ( -0.46) | 38.2% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.03% ( -0.45) | 74.97% ( 0.45) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.65% ( 0.54) | 24.35% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.25% ( 0.76) | 58.75% ( -0.76) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.59% Total : 25.65% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.42% Total : 47.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |