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St Johnstone logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Greenock Morton

St Johnstone
2 - 0
Morton

Mbunga-Kimpioka (12', 44')
MacPherson (70'), Wright (90+3'), Smith (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lyall (25'), King (84'), Garrity (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between St Johnstone and Greenock Morton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brechin 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Morton 1-0 Brechin
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: St Johnstone 3-1 Greenock Morton

Given St Johnstone's dominance of this fixture, the home side are huge favourites to secure maximum points, and we fancy them to live up to expectations by cruising to a routine win in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawGreenock Morton
28.47% (-0.8 -0.8) 26.29% (0.203 0.2) 45.24% (0.593 0.59)
Both teams to score 50.67% (-1.105 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (-1.205 -1.21)53.54% (1.2 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-1.027 -1.03)75.06% (1.023 1.02)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-1.236 -1.24)33.67% (1.232 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-1.367 -1.37)70.32% (1.363 1.36)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (-0.241 -0.24)23.59% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)57.67% (0.345 0.34)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 28.47%
    Greenock Morton 45.23%
    Draw 26.28%
St JohnstoneDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.47%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.367 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 11.47% (0.46 0.46)
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.29% (0.273 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.23%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Morton

St Johnstone
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Greenock Morton
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Fourth Round
St Johnstone
3-0
Morton
Booth (3'), Davidson (57'), May (74')
Oct 27, 2015 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Morton
1-3
St Johnstone
Johnstone (52')
Barr (34')
MacLean (61' pen.), O'Halloran (63'), Kane (83')
Davidson (37')
rhs 2.0
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