Almeria

3 - 1

Ponferradina

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.