Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 34.67%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.83%) and 2-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (13.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.