Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan2 - 1Spezia
We said: AC Milan 2-0 Spezia
There is no reason to think that Spezia will break their duck on the road this time out, as they face a formidable force in the shape of Milan at San Siro. With little to offer up front, the visitors will be overpowered by the Scudetto holders at the other end; keeping the hosts in touch with Napoli at the top of the table. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 79.05%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.59%) and 1-0 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Spezia |
79.05% ( -0.02) | 14.02% | 6.93% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.6% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
