Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
28.54% | 23.69% | 47.77% |
Both teams to score 59.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.59% | 42.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.19% | 64.81% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% | 27.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% | 63.47% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% | 17.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.24% | 48.76% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 7.01% 1-0 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.54% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 5.4% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |