Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
| 44.48% | 24.04% | 31.48% |
| Both teams to score 59.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% | 42.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.14% | 64.86% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% | 19.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.95% | 51.05% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% | 25.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.04% | 60.96% |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 44.48%
Roma 31.48%
Draw 24.04%
| AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.22% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.48% |
Head to Head
Jun 28, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 28
AC Milan
2-0
Roma
Oct 27, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
AC Milan
Feb 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Roma
1-1
AC Milan
Feb 25, 2018 7.45pm
