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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2025 at 2pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Cagliari logo

Atalanta
0 - 0
Cagliari


Hien (90+5')
FT

Coman (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Parma
Sunday, February 9 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 3-1 Cagliari

Atalanta (15) and Cagliari (13) have gained the most points from losing positions in Serie A this season, so one goal will not settle this contest. There have been no draws in any of the teams' last 19 league meetings, and that trend will continue with another Nerazzurri win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawCagliari
72.01% (-0.199 -0.2) 17.19% (0.058 0.06) 10.81% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.52% (0.321 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (0.147 0.15)40.39% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (0.15 0.15)62.76% (-0.15 -0.15)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)9.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (0.361 0.36)46.16% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.15% (0.277 0.28)81.85% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 71.99%
    Cagliari 10.81%
    Draw 17.19%
Atalanta BCDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 12.21% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.43% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.29% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.45% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 71.99%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 17.19%
0-1 @ 3.53% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.81%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Cagliari

Atalanta BC
Draw
Cagliari
Atalanta BC
87.5%
Draw
8.9%
Cagliari
3.6%
56
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 16
Cagliari
0-1
Atalanta

Luperto (43'), Augello (52'), Obert (86')
Zaniolo (66')
de Roon (49'), Zaniolo (66'), Samardzic (90+1')
Apr 7, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 31
Cagliari
2-1
Atalanta
Augello (42'), Viola (88')
Deiola (66'), Toloi (73'), Nandez (75')
Scamacca (13')
de Roon (54'), Zappacosta (63'), Luvumbo (74')
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
Atalanta
2-0
Cagliari
Lookman (33'), Pasalic (76')
Djimsiti (54')

Deiola (32'), Luvumbo (42')
Feb 6, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
1-2
Cagliari
Luis Palomino (64')
Zappacosta (61')
Musso (52')
Pereiro (50', 68')
Henrique (24'), Grassi (35'), Deiola (63'), Cragno (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Mazzarri (90+2')
Nov 6, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Cagliari
1-2
Atalanta
Pedro (27')
Godin (20')
Pasalic (6'), Zapata (43')
Koopmeiners (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli36239457273078
2Inter Milan36238575334277
3Atalanta BCAtalanta36218773324171
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma36189951341763
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina361781154371759
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino361014123942-344
12Udinese36128163951-1244
13Genoa36913143245-1340
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3696213164-3333
16Parma36614164156-1532
17VeneziaVenezia36514173050-2029
18Empoli36513182956-2728
19Lecce36610202558-3328
RMonza3639242764-3718


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