Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
