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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Atalanta logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Atalanta

Augello (42'), Viola (88')
Deiola (66'), Toloi (73'), Nandez (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Scamacca (13')
de Roon (54'), Zappacosta (63'), Luvumbo (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Atalanta BC

These clubs have not drawn any of their last Serie A 17 meetings, and that streak could continue on Sunday evening, when Atalanta should return to base with maximum points. Their varied attack can exploit Cagliari's dubious defence, though it will be far from a straightforward mission. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawAtalanta BC
36.08% (0.083000000000006 0.08) 27.1% (0.038 0.04) 36.82% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)54.76% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.125 -0.13)76.07% (0.123 0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)29.08% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)65% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.146 -0.15)28.64% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.183 -0.18)64.45% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 36.07%
    Atalanta BC 36.81%
    Draw 27.09%
CagliariDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.07%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.81%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Atalanta

Cagliari
7.9%
Draw
17.1%
Atalanta BC
75.0%
76
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
Atalanta
2-0
Cagliari
Lookman (33'), Pasalic (76')
Djimsiti (54')

Deiola (32'), Luvumbo (42')
Feb 6, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
1-2
Cagliari
Luis Palomino (64')
Zappacosta (61')
Musso (52')
Pereiro (50', 68')
Henrique (24'), Grassi (35'), Deiola (63'), Cragno (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Mazzarri (90+2')
Nov 6, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Cagliari
1-2
Atalanta
Pedro (27')
Godin (20')
Pasalic (6'), Zapata (43')
Koopmeiners (45')
Feb 14, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 22
Cagliari
0-1
Atalanta

Walukiewicz (7'), Rugani (60'), Lykogiannis (69')
Muriel (90')
Romero (45+1'), Ilicic (68'), de Roon (89')
Jan 14, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Atalanta
3-1
Cagliari
Miranchuk (43'), Muriel (61'), Sutalo (64')
Ilicic (81')
Sottil (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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