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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
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Atalanta
5 - 1
Genoa

Retegui (24', 50', 74' pen.), Ederson (60'), de Roon (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ekhator (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-3 Atalanta
Wednesday, October 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Genoa

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-3 Juventus
Saturday, September 28 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Genoa

 After his team's inconsistent start to the season, Gian Piero Gasperini appealed for patience while a whole host of summer signings settled in. Atalanta now appear to be finding their identity again, which could prove problematic for Genoa, who are surely bound for a third straight Serie A defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawGenoa
57.86% (0.25 0.25) 23.01% (-0.115 -0.11) 19.12% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 50.25% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (0.281 0.28)48.96% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (0.254 0.25)71.05% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.18599999999999 0.19)16.65% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5% (0.335 0.34)46.49% (-0.337 -0.34)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.011999999999993 0.01)39.71% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)76.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 57.85%
    Genoa 19.12%
    Draw 23.01%
Atalanta BCDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 11.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.85% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 57.85%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.12%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Genoa

Atalanta BC
81.7%
Draw
12.9%
Genoa
5.4%
93
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 24
Genoa
1-4
Atalanta
Malinovskyi (51')
Strootman (24'), Bani (54'), Caricol (90+3')
De Ketelaere (22'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (90+10'), Bilal Toure (90+13')
De Ketelaere (24'), Kolasinac (32'), de Roon (90+2'), Miranchuk (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Atalanta
2-0
Genoa
Lookman (68'), Ederson (90+5')
Lookman (42'), Toloi (53'), Hateboer (85'), Zappacosta (90')

Gudmundsson (56'), Bani (90+7')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
0-0
Genoa
Zappacosta (38'), Toloi (82')
> Preview
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Genoa
0-0
Atalanta
Sturaro (19'), Badelj (41')
Freuler (23')
> Preview
May 15, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 37
Genoa
3-4
Atalanta
Shomurodov (48', 84'), Pandev (67' pen.)
Rovella (88')
Zapata (9'), Malinovskyi (26'), Gosens (44'), Pasalic (51')
Djimsiti (62'), Toloi (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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