Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
63.94% (![]() | 21.3% (![]() | 14.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% (![]() | 49.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% (![]() | 71.12% (![]() |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.33% (![]() | 14.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.18% (![]() | 42.81% (![]() |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.76% (![]() | 45.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.88% (![]() | 81.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 12.73% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.22% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 63.93% | 1-1 @ 10.1% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.26% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |