Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa0 - 3Juventus
We said: Genoa 0-1 Juventus
Neither side is prolific, so this meeting of two up-and-coming coaches could be a tactical affair decided by just one goal. Given the depth of their resources following a summer of spending, Juventus should finally end their Serie A drought, consigning Genoa to a third straight defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Juventus |
24.71% ( 0.08) | 26.72% ( 0.05) | 48.57% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
