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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Roma logo

Genoa
1 - 1
Roma

De Winter (90+6')
De Winter (70'), Gilardino (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dovbyk (37')
Pisilli (45'), De Rossi (55'), Pellegrini (64'), Shomurodov (90+1')
De Rossi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 1 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Roma
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 2-1 Roma

Needing three points to boost his troops before their Europa League campaign kicks off next week, Daniele De Rossi would have hoped for a more straightforward fixture following the international break. As Roma's new boys are still settling in - and their coach seems unsure how to use them - Genoa can beat their capital counterparts again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawRoma
33.22% (-0.158 -0.16) 27.07% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 39.71% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 50.32% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.090999999999994 0.09)54.95% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (0.074999999999999 0.07)76.23% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)31.01% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)67.32% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.146 0.15)27.07% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.192 0.19)62.44% (-0.195 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 33.22%
    Roma 39.7%
    Draw 27.07%
GenoaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.7%

How you voted: Genoa vs Roma

Genoa
35.4%
Draw
22.2%
Roma
42.4%
158
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Roma
1-0
Genoa
Lukaku (79')
Paredes (72'), Lukaku (82')
Paredes (72')
Sep 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Genoa
4-1
Roma
Gudmundsson (5'), Retegui (45'), Thorsby (74'), Messias (81')
Strootman (26'), Sabelli (37'), Retegui (65'), Bani (75')
Cristante (22')
Mancini (42'), Paredes (75'), Aouar (89')
Jan 12, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Roma
1-0
Genoa
Dybala (64')
Feb 5, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Roma
0-0
Genoa
Mancini (35'), Zaniolo (90+1'), Abraham (90+4')
Zaniolo (90+5')
Vanheusden (25'), Vasquez (79')
Skiri Oestigaard (69')
Nov 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Genoa
0-2
Roma

Cambiaso (32'), Badelj (54'), Sabelli (78')
Afena-Gyan (82', 90+4')
Veretout (40'), Mourinho (49'), Afena-Gyan (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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