Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Roma |
33.22% ( -0.16) | 27.07% ( -0.03) | 39.71% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 50.32% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.04% ( 0.09) | 54.95% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.77% ( 0.07) | 76.23% ( -0.08) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.99% ( -0.06) | 31.01% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.68% ( -0.07) | 67.32% ( 0.07) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.93% ( 0.15) | 27.07% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.56% ( 0.19) | 62.44% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |