Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
We said: Cremonese 0-2 Lazio
Although their defeat on Thursday was demoralising at the time, you have to expect that Lazio will be motivated to respond at the first opportunity. Cremonese have improved in recent weeks, but we are backing the visitors to run out relatively comfortable winners.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.84% . A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.29%) . The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%) . The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result Cremonese Draw Lazio 35.22% ( 2.08) 24.95% ( 0.13) 39.84% ( -2.21)
Both teams to score 57.77% ( 0.08)
54.43% ( -0.11) 45.57% ( 0.11)
32.1% ( -0.11) 67.9% ( 0.11)
74.78% ( 1.17) 25.22% ( -1.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.04% ( 1.59) 59.96% ( -1.59)
77.25% ( -1.12) 22.75% ( 1.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.56% ( -1.68) 56.44% ( 1.68)
Cremonese 35.22%
Lazio 39.84%
Draw 24.94%
Cremonese Draw Lazio 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.22% 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.84%
How you voted: Cremonese vs Lazio
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rhs 2.0
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