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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Lookman (59')
Scalvini (31'), Hateboer (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bonaventura (4'), Amrabat (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina have been far from convincing thus far, and while Atalanta's standing has been aided by a kind fixture list, the hosts can overcome both their opponents and a dismal home record throughout 2022. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
57.37% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 22.29% (0.02 0.02) 20.35% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.8% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)44.19% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.43% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.57% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)15.16% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.24% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)43.76% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.33% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)35.67% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.56% (-0.032 -0.03)72.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 57.36%
    Fiorentina 20.35%
    Draw 22.28%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
81.3%
Draw
12.7%
Fiorentina
6.0%
134
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
Feb 10, 2022 5pm
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49')
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
Atalanta
3-0
Fiorentina
Gosens (44'), Malinovskiy (55'), Toloi (63')
Romero (67')

Amrabat (54'), Ribery (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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