Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina have been far from convincing thus far, and while Atalanta's standing has been aided by a kind fixture list, the hosts can overcome both their opponents and a dismal home record throughout 2022. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
57.37% ( -0.04) | 22.29% ( 0.02) | 20.35% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.8% ( -0.08) | 44.19% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.43% ( -0.08) | 66.57% ( 0.08) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% ( -0.04) | 15.16% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.24% ( -0.08) | 43.76% ( 0.07) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.33% ( -0.03) | 35.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% ( -0.03) | 72.44% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.35% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina
Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')