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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Monza

Atalanta
2 - 0
Monza

Samardzic (70'), Zappacosta (88')
Djimsiti (54'), Kolasinac (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maldini (77'), Caldirola (82'), Valoti (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 6-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, October 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Monza

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Venezia
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 3-1 Monza

 One aberration aside - their 0-0 draw with Celtic - a voracious Atalanta side simply cannot stop scoring, averaging four goals per home game in Serie A. Although Gian Piero Gasperini may choose midweek to make changes amid a hectic schedule, the hosts should still have too much firepower for their visitors to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Monza had a probability of 10.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawMonza
71.12% (1.07 1.07) 18% (-0.373 -0.37) 10.88% (-0.697 -0.7)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (-0.222 -0.22)43.94% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (-0.217 -0.22)66.33% (0.217 0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (0.22199999999999 0.22)11.06% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.59% (0.485 0.48)35.41% (-0.485 -0.48)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.64% (-1.406 -1.41)48.35% (1.405 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.51% (-1.042 -1.04)83.49% (1.041 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 71.11%
    Monza 10.88%
    Draw 18%
Atalanta BCDrawMonza
2-0 @ 12.96% (0.36 0.36)
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.22 0.22)
3-0 @ 9.52% (0.344 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.24% (0.235 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.81% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.123 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 71.11%
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 18%
0-1 @ 3.89% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 10.88%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Monza

Atalanta BC
94.6%
Draw
4.6%
Monza
0.8%
130
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-2
Atalanta
Maldini (89')
Birindelli (3'), Izzo (66'), Bondo (90+4')
De Ketelaere (44'), Bilal Toure (72')
Djimsiti (83'), Hien (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Atalanta
3-0
Monza
Ederson (35'), Scamacca (42', 62')

Pessina (44'), Mari (59'), Izzo (83')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
5-2
Monza
Koopmeiners (12', 45+1', 79'), Hojlund (74'), Muriel (90+2')
Piero Gasperini (0'), Toloi (64')
Piero Gasperini (67')
Colpani (51'), Petagna (81')
Rovella (33'), Izzo (63')
Santos (70')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Monza
0-2
Atalanta
Hojlund (57'), Santos (65' og.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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