Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Monza |
67.15% ( -0.03) | 18.87% ( 0.01) | 13.98% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.71% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.97% ( -0.01) | 40.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.61% ( -0.01) | 62.39% ( 0.01) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.99% ( -0.01) | 11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.71% ( -0.02) | 35.29% ( 0.02) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% ( 0.02) | 40.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% ( 0.02) | 77.35% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Monza |
2-0 @ 10.92% 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 67.15% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.87% | 0-1 @ 4.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |