Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Atalanta BC |
30.99% ( 0.02) | 25.2% ( -0.17) | 43.81% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.53% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.12% ( 0.76) | 47.88% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% ( 0.7) | 70.06% ( -0.69) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.39) | 28.95% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( 0.48) | 64.83% ( -0.48) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.4) | 21.84% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( 0.6) | 55.07% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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