Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
3 - 1
Torino

Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Zappacosta (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlasic (77')
Aina (19'), Buongiorno (46'), Vlasic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Lazio	4	3	8
7	Atalanta BC	3	3	7
8	Torino	3	2	7

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Atalanta BC	3	3	7
8	Torino	3	2	7
9	Udinese	4	0	7

We said: Atalanta BC 2-2 Torino

Plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected in this fixture, considering that 35 goals have been scored at an average of 5.8 per game over the last three seasons. Atalanta will be viewed as the slight favourites on home soil, but the visitors are sure to have their say in the contest and should do enough to claim a hard-fought point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Torino had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Torino
54.45% ( -0.1)	23.98% ( 0.04)	21.57% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.99% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15% (

-0.11)

49.85% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15% (

-0.09)

71.85% (

0.1)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.8% (

-0.08)

18.2% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.79% (

-0.13)

49.21% (

0.14)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34% (

37.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.56% (

74.44% (

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 54.44%

Torino 21.57%

Draw 23.97%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.44%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.57%