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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma logo

Torino
0 - 3
Roma


Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Abraham (33', 42' pen.), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Torino 1-1 Roma

Roma's recent Serie A form has been disappointing, and they will be coming up against a Torino outfit that will be full of confidence due to a strong set of results over the last few weeks. A draw would leave Roma vulnerable in the top six, but we are struggling to separate the two sides here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
35.14% (-0.109 -0.11) 25.53% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 39.34% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)48.19% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)70.35% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.105 -0.11)26.5% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)61.69% (0.13 0.13)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)58.5% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.14%
    Roma 39.34%
    Draw 25.52%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 35.14%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
30.2%
Draw
27.3%
Roma
42.6%
242
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
Dec 17, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Torino
Mkhitaryan (27'), Veretout (43' pen.), Pellegrini (68')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')
Belotti (73')
Singo (7'), Lyanco (78')
Singo (14')
Jul 29, 2020 8.45pm
Torino
2-3
Roma
Berenguer (14'), Singo (66')
Lyanco (23'), Meite (55')
Dzeko (16'), Smalling (23'), Diawara (61' pen.)
Perez (35'), Mancini (38'), Zaniolo (81')
Jan 5, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
0-2
Torino

Diawara (28'), Veretout (45'), Kolarov (55'), Mancini (64'), Florenzi (76')
Belotti (45', 86')
Izzo (15'), Verdi (20')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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