Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 1Cagliari
We said: Bologna 1-0 Cagliari
Cagliari's winless run at Bologna should continue on Saturday, with the away side falling to a slender defeat against their more coherent hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Cagliari |
31.66% ( -0.01) | 27.85% ( 0.02) | 40.49% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
