Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Juventus1 - 1Bologna
We said: Juventus 2-0 Bologna
Building on last week's win, Juventus can continue their bright start to the new season by taking three points from a fairly toothless Bologna side. While Juve's forwards misfired last term, they undoubtedly have a clinical edge; in Thiago Motta's own words, the visitors are still a signing or two short in attack. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
41.6% ( 0.26) | 26.01% ( -0.03) | 32.4% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
