Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Crotone |
41.18% | 24.5% | 34.32% |
Both teams to score 59.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.33% | 43.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.94% | 66.06% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% | 21.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.79% | 54.21% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.16% | 24.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.57% | 59.43% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Crotone |
2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |