Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 25, 2020 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari4 - 2Crotone
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Crotone |
| 26.94% | 23.55% | 49.51% |
| Both teams to score 58.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
