Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
