Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
31.17% | 26.09% | 42.75% |
Both teams to score 52.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.44% | 51.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.64% | 73.36% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% | 30.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.06% | 66.94% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% | 23.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.84% | 58.16% |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.68% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.17% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |