Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 9.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.44%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
74.07% ( 0.25) | 16.59% ( -0.11) | 9.34% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.88% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.88% ( 0.06) | 42.12% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.48% ( 0.06) | 64.52% ( -0.05) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.17% ( 0.08) | 9.82% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.38% ( 0.18) | 32.62% ( -0.17) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.77% ( -0.25) | 50.23% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.18% ( -0.18) | 84.82% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 11.44% 3-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.08% 4-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 74.06% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 16.59% | 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 9.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |