Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Cagliari |
39.07% ( -0.5) | 27.63% ( 0.11) | 33.29% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 48.62% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.89% ( -0.36) | 57.1% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.02% ( -0.28) | 77.98% ( 0.28) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.55% ( -0.45) | 28.45% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.79% ( -0.57) | 64.21% ( 0.57) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% ( 0.08) | 32.05% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.48% ( 0.09) | 68.52% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |