Cagliari1 - 0Hellas Verona
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, November 24 at 11.30am in Serie A
for
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Serie A
for
We said: Cagliari 2-1 Hellas Verona
Cagliari have conceded the most goals from set-pieces in Serie A this season (10), while Hellas have leaked the most from open play (27) - in short, neither side is capable of keeping the back door shut. On home turf and with momentum behind them from snatching two late draws, the hosts should claim maximum points and leapfrog Verona in the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cagliari in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cagliari.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Hellas Verona |
50.16% ( -0.02) | 25.79% ( 0.01) | 24.06% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.48% ( -0.03) | 54.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% ( -0.03) | 75.87% ( 0.03) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( -0.02) | 21.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.04% ( -0.04) | 54.96% ( 0.04) |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% ( -0.01) | 37.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.32% ( -0.01) | 74.68% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.62% Total : 24.06% |
