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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Hellas Verona logo

Cagliari
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Piccoli (75')
Marin (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Coppola (81'), Lambourde (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, November 24 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-5 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-1 Hellas Verona

Cagliari have conceded the most goals from set-pieces in Serie A this season (10), while Hellas have leaked the most from open play (27) - in short, neither side is capable of keeping the back door shut. On home turf and with momentum behind them from snatching two late draws, the hosts should claim maximum points and leapfrog Verona in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cagliari in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cagliari.

Result
CagliariDrawHellas Verona
50.16% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 25.79% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 24.06% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.48% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)54.52% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)75.87% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)21.77% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.04% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.96% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.09% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)37.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.68% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 50.16%
    Hellas Verona 24.06%
    Draw 25.78%
CagliariDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 50.16%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.06%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Hellas Verona

Cagliari
74.4%
Draw
17.9%
Hellas Verona
7.7%
78
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 30
Cagliari
1-1
Hellas Verona
Sulemana (74')
Bonazzoli (30')
Duda (27'), Magnani (90+3')
Dec 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Hellas Verona
2-0
Cagliari
Ngonge (53'), Djuric (90')
Duda (45'), Suslov (56'), Ngonge (69')

Makoumbou (12'), Viola (56'), Sulemana (90+3')
Makoumbou (51')
Apr 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
Cagliari
1-2
Hellas Verona
Pedro (57')
Pavoletti (51'), Carboni (90')
Barak (8'), Caprari (44')
Barak (22'), Tameze (23'), Hongla (56'), Simeone (77')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Hellas Verona
0-0
Cagliari
Gunter (35'), Simeone (49'), Lazovic (50'), Tudor (50')
Balde (50'), Caceres (88')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 29
Cagliari
0-2
Hellas Verona

Klavan (25')
Barak (54'), Lasagna (90+9')
Lovato (6'), Sturaro (88'), Lazovic (90+4')
Juric (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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