Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan1 - 0Venezia
We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Venezia
Inter have conceded eight goals across their last three Serie A home games - as many as throughout the previous 17 - so Venezia might score at San Siro. However, the Italian champions are a class above their promoted opponents, and even a rotated side should secure maximum points from Sunday's late kickoff. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.19%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 9.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Venezia |
74.19% ( -1.13) | 15.94% ( 0.67) | 9.87% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
