Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
16.04% | 19.43% | 64.52% |
Both teams to score 56.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.74% | 38.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.46% | 60.54% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.08% | 36.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.3% | 73.7% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.81% | 11.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.31% | 35.69% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 4.49% 1-0 @ 4.11% 2-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.05% | 1-1 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.43% | 0-2 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.04% 0-3 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 7.21% 0-4 @ 3.96% 1-4 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 3.59% 2-4 @ 1.97% 0-5 @ 1.74% 1-5 @ 1.73% Other @ 4.31% Total : 64.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |