Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | AC Milan |
17.91% | 20.42% | 61.67% |
Both teams to score 56.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.58% | 39.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.24% | 61.76% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.55% | 35.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% | 72.21% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.7% | 12.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.92% | 38.08% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 4.91% 1-0 @ 4.52% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.91% | 1-1 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 5.15% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.42% | 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-3 @ 6.69% 1-4 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 3.6% 0-4 @ 3.5% 2-4 @ 1.88% 1-5 @ 1.52% 0-5 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.8% Total : 61.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |