Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match.
