Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Sampdoria |
42.63% | 26.48% | 30.89% |
Both teams to score 51.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.74% | 53.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% | 74.81% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% | 24.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% | 59.31% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.26% | 31.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.84% | 68.17% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |