Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Atalanta BC |
27.67% | 24.02% | 48.31% |
Both teams to score 57.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.49% | 44.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.12% | 66.87% |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% | 29.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.41% | 65.59% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% | 18.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.21% | 49.78% |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 6.86% 1-0 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.67% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-1 @ 9.24% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 5.33% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |