Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 1
Empoli

de Roon (58'), Hojlund (86')
Lookman (84'), Luis Palomino (88'), Ruggeri (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ebuehi (44')
Henderson (82'), Bandinelli (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Atalanta
Saturday, March 11 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Udinese
Saturday, March 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Empoli

Both teams are in rotten runs of form but Atalanta, buoyed by their home crowd, a much stronger squad and their veteran coach, should have enough to end their winless and goalless streak against Empoli this Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Empoli
74.36% ( 1.04)	16.13% ( -0.62)	9.51% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 47.22% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.58% (

1.63)

39.42% (

-1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.24% (

1.69)

61.76% (

-1.68)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.93% (

0.66)

9.07% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.15% (

1.56)

30.85% (

-1.56)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.93% (

0.24)

48.07% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.72% (

0.18)

83.28% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 74.34%

Empoli 9.51%

Draw 16.13%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.22) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.81% Total : 74.34%	1-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.13%	0-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.33% Total : 9.51%