Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Mar 11, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
2 - 0
Atalanta

Kvaratskhelia (60'), Rrahmani (77')
Osimhen (18')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruggeri (15'), Scalvini (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Udinese
Saturday, March 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Napoli 2-0 Atalanta BC

Only one of the last 15 Serie A encounters between Napoli and Atalanta has been drawn, and that trend can continue this week as the hosts get back on track after a rare taste of defeat. Their fearsome front line cannot be denied for another 90 minutes, while their visitors have suddenly run short of goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
60.37% ( 0.57)	20.83% ( -0.09)	18.8% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.14% (

-0.36)

39.85% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.79% (

-0.38)

62.21% (

0.38)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.19% (

0.05)

12.81% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.86% (

0.11)

39.13% (

-0.1)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26% (

-0.72)

34.74% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53% (

-0.76)

71.47% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Napoli 60.37%

Atalanta BC 18.8%

Draw 20.83%

Napoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.61% Total : 60.37%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.83%	1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.8%