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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Atalanta logo

Napoli
2 - 0
Atalanta

Kvaratskhelia (60'), Rrahmani (77')
Osimhen (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruggeri (15'), Scalvini (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Udinese
Saturday, March 4 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Atalanta BC

 Only one of the last 15 Serie A encounters between Napoli and Atalanta has been drawn, and that trend can continue this week as the hosts get back on track after a rare taste of defeat. Their fearsome front line cannot be denied for another 90 minutes, while their visitors have suddenly run short of goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
60.37% (0.57100000000001 0.57) 20.83% (-0.087 -0.09) 18.8% (-0.485 -0.48)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.14% (-0.362 -0.36)39.85% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (-0.377 -0.38)62.21% (0.38 0.38)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (0.051000000000002 0.05)12.81% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86% (0.10599999999999 0.11)39.13% (-0.104 -0.1)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.718 -0.72)34.74% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (-0.764 -0.76)71.47% (0.767 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.37%
    Atalanta BC 18.8%
    Draw 20.83%
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.194 0.19)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.31% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 60.37%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 18.8%

How you voted: Napoli vs Atalanta

Napoli
87.1%
Draw
8.9%
Atalanta BC
4.0%
101
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Demiral (36')
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Napoli
De Roon (58')
Luis Palomino (35'), de Roon (86')
Insigne (14' pen.), Politano (37'), Elmas (81')
Jesus (67'), Ospina (76'), Zambo Anguissa (85')
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
2-3
Atalanta
Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')
Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
Malinovskyi (17'), Pasalic (82'), Djimsiti (87')
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Atalanta
4-2
Napoli
Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')
Piero Gasperini (26')
Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')
Feb 10, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Atalanta
3-1
Napoli
Zapata (10'), Pessina (16', 78')
Luis Palomino (7')
Lozano (53')
Hysaj (25'), Zielinski (57'), Di Lorenzo (75'), Insigne (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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