We said: Napoli 2-0 Atalanta BC
Only one of the last 15 Serie A encounters between Napoli and Atalanta has been drawn, and that trend can continue this week as the hosts get back on track after a rare taste of defeat. Their fearsome front line cannot be denied for another 90 minutes, while their visitors have suddenly run short of goals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
60.37% ( 0.57) | 20.83% ( -0.09) | 18.8% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.14% ( -0.36) | 39.85% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( -0.38) | 62.21% ( 0.38) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( 0.05) | 12.81% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.86% ( 0.11) | 39.13% ( -0.1) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( -0.72) | 34.74% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.53% ( -0.76) | 71.47% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.61% Total : 60.37% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.8% |
