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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Lazio
0 - 2
Atalanta


Zaccagni (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zappacosta (23'), Hojlund (65')
Scalvini (57'), de Roon (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lazio
Monday, February 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Atalanta BC

No team has scored more Serie A goals inside the first half-hour of play than Lazio (14), so there is always the chance they can catch their visitors cold with a fast start. If they do take the lead on Saturday, they will be doubly determined to make amends for recent lapses and keep Atalanta at bay - though not without some difficulty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
39.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.27% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.72% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)51.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.32% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 39.01%
    Atalanta BC 34.72%
    Draw 26.27%
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.01%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.72%

How you voted: Lazio vs Atalanta

Lazio
70.1%
Draw
16.5%
Atalanta BC
13.4%
127
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 5pm
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
2-2
Lazio
Zapata (45+1'), De Roon (90+4')
Demiral (78')
Pedro (18'), Immobile (74')
Felipe (34'), Reina (90+1'), Leiva (90+3')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Lazio
Pasalic (79')
Marusic (3'), Correa (51'), Muriqi (82')
Patric (23'), Musacchio (57')
Jan 27, 2021 4.45pm
Quarter-finals
Atalanta
3-2
Lazio
Djimsiti (7'), Malinovskyi (37'), Miranchuk (57')
Romero (11'), Malinovskyi (16')
Luis Palomino (53')
Muriqi (17'), Acerbi (34')
Patric (22'), Fares (22'), Escalante (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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