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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Cagliari logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Cagliari

FT(HT: 0-0)
Jankto (69')
Gaetano (17'), Mina (79'), Scuffet (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 2-1 Cagliari

As Empoli are enjoying their best form of the season, they should expect to overcome a fragile Cagliari side that cannot buy a win on the road. The Sardinians have scored only eight Serie A goals away from home this season, while their hosts are now full of confidence in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawCagliari
35.88% (0.191 0.19) 27.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 36.76% (-0.252 -0.25)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-0.224 -0.22)55.82% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (-0.183 -0.18)76.94% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.007000000000005 0.01)29.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)65.79% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)29.19% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.322 -0.32)65.13% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 35.87%
    Cagliari 36.75%
    Draw 27.36%
EmpoliDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.87%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.75%

How you voted: Empoli vs Cagliari

Empoli
65.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cagliari
10.0%
60
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-0
Empoli
Lapadula (29')
Maleh (29'), Cacace (64'), Walukiewicz (80')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Empoli
1-1
Cagliari
Pavoletti (84')
Pedro (40'), Marin (71')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Cagliari
0-2
Empoli

Godin (75'), Nandez (90+4')
Di Francesco (29'), Stulac (69')
Zurkowski (21')
Jan 20, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 20
Cagliari
2-2
Empoli
Pavoletti (36'), Farias (90')
Di Lorenzo (70'), Zajc (81')
Aug 19, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Empoli
2-0
Cagliari
Krunic (14'), Caputo (52')
Antonelli (28'), Capezzi (66'), Rasmussen (90')

Romagna (44'), Barella (76'), Pisacane (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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