Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 10, 2024 at 2pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
1 - 3
Lazio

Gaetano (51')
Makoumbou (52')
Aresti (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Deiola (26' og.), Immobile (49'), Anderson (65')
Immobile (45+1'), Romagnoli (67'), Vecino (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Cagliari
Monday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, February 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

For all their woes on the road, Cagliari can test most teams on home turf - and Lazio look like they have lost some rhythm. The spoils could therefore be shared by two teams with very different objectives, fully satisfying neither. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Lazio
40.73% ( -0.37)	26.64% ( -0.08)	32.63% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 51.5% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.62% (

0.45)

53.38% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08% (

0.38)

74.92% (

-0.38)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

0.01)

25.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.26% (

0.01)

60.74% (

-0.01)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

0.53)

30.61% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

0.63)

66.85% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 40.72%

Lazio 32.63%

Draw 26.64%

Cagliari	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.63%