Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 21, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
3 - 0
Monza

Zurkowski (13', 38', 73')
Bereszynski (49')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Caldirola (70'), Mota (72'), Mari (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Empoli
Saturday, January 13 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-5 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mid-table Monza possess the seventh-best away record in Serie A, so a victory for the visitors cannot be discounted. However, their hosts' new boss could make a quick impact and lead his team to at least one point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Monza
34.16% ( 0.57)	25.55% ( -0.03)	40.29% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 55.47% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55% (

0.26)

48.45% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.41% (

0.24)

70.58% (

-0.24)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.79% (

0.47)

27.21% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38% (

0.61)

62.62% (

-0.61)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2% (

-0.15)

23.8% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.04% (

-0.22)

57.96% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Empoli 34.16%

Monza 40.29%

Draw 25.54%

Empoli	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.16%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.29%