Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Monza |
34.16% ( 0.57) | 25.55% ( -0.03) | 40.29% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.55% ( 0.26) | 48.45% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.41% ( 0.24) | 70.58% ( -0.24) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.79% ( 0.47) | 27.21% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.38% ( 0.61) | 62.62% ( -0.61) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.2% ( -0.15) | 23.8% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.04% ( -0.22) | 57.96% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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