Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Niang (56' pen.)
Gyasi (1'), Luperto (45+4'), Zurkowski (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Beltran (29')
Biraghi (70'), Beltran (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 1-3 Empoli
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, February 14 at 6pm in Serie A

Goals
for

We said: Empoli 1-1 Fiorentina

Despite trailing their regional rivals by 16 points before kickoff, momentum will certainly be on Empoli's side this weekend. They may lack a clinical centre-forward, but Fiorentina still find a way to score most weeks so could still walk away with one point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Fiorentina
25.11% ( -0.37)	25.36% ( -0.2)	49.52% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.94% (

0.51)

52.05% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.21% (

0.44)

73.78% (

-0.44)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.39% (

-0.03)

35.6% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.62% (

-0.03)

72.37% (

0.03)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

0.45)

21.04% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.17% (

0.7)

53.83% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

Empoli 25.11%

Fiorentina 49.51%

Draw 25.35%

Empoli	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 25.11%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.51%