Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli1 - 1Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 1-3 Empoli
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Empoli 1-1 Fiorentina
Despite trailing their regional rivals by 16 points before kickoff, momentum will certainly be on Empoli's side this weekend. They may lack a clinical centre-forward, but Fiorentina still find a way to score most weeks so could still walk away with one point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
25.11% ( -0.37) | 25.36% ( -0.2) | 49.52% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.94% ( 0.51) | 52.05% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.21% ( 0.44) | 73.78% ( -0.44) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.39% ( -0.03) | 35.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.62% ( -0.03) | 72.37% ( 0.03) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( 0.45) | 21.04% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.17% ( 0.7) | 53.83% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
Empoli 25.11%
Fiorentina 49.51%
Draw 25.35%
| Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.97% Total : 25.11% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.51% |
How you voted: Empoli vs Fiorentina
Empoli
41.4%Draw
22.4%Fiorentina
36.2%58
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
Nov 27, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 14
Empoli
2-1
Fiorentina
