We said: Roma 2-0 Cagliari
Given the combination of Roma's fine home record and Cagliari's woes on the road, only one outcome is likely in Serie A's Monday night contest. The Giallorossi are rejuvenated under new management, so three more points should be theirs for the taking. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
61.57% ( -0.28) | 22.97% ( 0.51) | 15.46% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 43.53% ( -1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( -2.28) | 54.26% ( 2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% ( -1.93) | 75.65% ( 1.93) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( -0.9) | 17.23% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.46% ( -1.61) | 47.53% ( 1.61) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.59% ( -1.68) | 47.4% ( 1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.21% ( -1.28) | 82.79% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 61.55%
Cagliari 15.46%
Draw 22.96%
| Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 14.36% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 7.4% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.7)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.46% |
How you voted: Roma vs Cagliari
Roma
91.3%Draw
7.5%Cagliari
1.2%173
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Roma
1-0
Cagliari
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cagliari
1-2
Roma
Apr 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
3-2
Roma
