Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Cagliari |
44.7% ( -0.51) | 26.04% ( 0.17) | 29.26% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.84% ( -0.51) | 52.16% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.12% ( -0.45) | 73.87% ( 0.44) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( -0.47) | 23.25% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( -0.68) | 57.17% ( 0.68) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% ( -0.02) | 32.35% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.14% ( -0.02) | 68.86% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 44.7% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |