Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina2 - 1AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Fiorentina
Monday, February 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Monday, February 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
We said: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
Fiorentina (387) and Milan (351) are among the top four Serie A sides in terms of shots attempted this season, so there could be plenty of goalmouth action on Saturday evening - even if the visitors have tightened up at the back. Both teams should score at the Franchi, but Milan can gain revenge for a 4-3 reverse on their most recent visit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
44% ( -1.35) | 24.89% ( 0.42) | 31.11% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.53% ( -1.46) | 46.47% ( 1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.25% ( -1.39) | 68.75% ( 1.38) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( -1.2) | 21.16% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.97% ( -1.89) | 54.02% ( 1.89) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -0.12) | 28.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.14% ( -0.14) | 63.86% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 44%
AC Milan 31.11%
Draw 24.88%
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.59% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.11% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan
Fiorentina
17.4%Draw
12.2%AC Milan
70.4%115
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Form Guide
