Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 0
Torino

Giroud (62')
Kjaer (32')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gineitis (25'), Buongiorno (49'), Schuurs (68'), Radonjic (82')

Reaction

Tottenham Hotspur team news: Injury, suspension list vs. AC Milan

Sports Mole rounds up Tottenham Hotspur's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the first leg of Tuesday's Champions League tie with AC Milan.

Feb 12, 20:45

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Tottenham Hotspur's latest injury and suspension news ahead of the first leg of Tuesday's Champions League tie with AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Udinese
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Having shown precious few signs of improvement in the derby, Milan are in damage-limitation mode and would probably take a point if offered before kickoff. They may manage to hold out for a draw, as Torino often lack a cutting edge to match some encouraging approach play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Torino
58.34% ( 0.08)	23.1% ( -0.04)	18.56% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.02% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9% (

0.09)

50.1% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93% (

0.08)

72.07% (

-0.08)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12% (

0.06)

16.88% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.08% (

0.11)

46.92% (

-0.1)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.98% (

-0)

41.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.43% (

-0)

77.57% (

Score Analysis

AC Milan 58.32%

Torino 18.56%

Draw 23.09%

AC Milan	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 58.32%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2% Total : 18.56%