Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza0 - 1AC Milan
We said: Monza 1-1 AC Milan
Monza are now a tough nut to crack, so even a recent return to something like normality for Milan may not see them in shape to end their hosts' unbeaten run. Lacking their old vibrancy up front, and with Rafael Leao still struggling, the champions could have to settle for a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
33.51% ( 0.05) | 24.11% ( 0.01) | 42.37% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
